Fire AetherwingTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.3%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1229
· median 1229
· range 1229–1229
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1145
Q1 1221
Q3 1317
1451
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Wind Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
